NEW TONIGHT!  ANGUS Prime Rib!  That's right.  Food and bev manager Manley Chan said he's found a great source for Angus Prime Rib.  "It costs a little more than the best cuts of regular beef but I want to try it."  So where are YOU dining tonight?  Same great price--all you can eat for just $14.95.  This week's add-ons include BBQ pulled pork, meat loaf and chicken pot pie. Full menu. Reserve now at 885-3330 ext. 0

 

DELTA PICK 'EM CONTEST CONTINUES TONIGHT: $80 at stake!  You know the drill.  Predict the winner of Race 7 at Delta for $20 (because last week's $40 jackpot was won by local horse owner Larry Liebrecht).  But there's $60 awaiting if you also predict the pick-3 in races 7-9 because no one won last week so the pool has been increased by $20!  Send entries to theinsider@ASDowns.com by 8 p.m.  Put your predictions in the subject line. Note:  Only ONE ENTRY PER EMAIL ADDRESS.  Multiple entries will be disqualified.

 

5-ALIVE CONTEST JACKPOT HITS $450!   Could you use $450 cash?  Just pick three show horses, a place horse and a winner at Sam Houston in races 3 to 7 tomorrow.  Post time: 7 p.m.  Come to the buffet tonight and pick up tomorrow's Sam Houston program while you're here.

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                         Rock'n gets ready to roll
Stellar stakes horse Rock'n USA gets a pep talk from trainer Tanya Lindsay yesterday morning before heading out onto the training track with exercise rider Tony Cizik. The training track opened Monday. Live racing kicks off Mother's Day Sunday, May 9.
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Well, the gold rush is over (boo hoo hoo)
but green is always in season.  So is red and brown, especially brown.  Which are the colours we're all looking for anyway, aren't we?  Unless, of course, you're seeking gold at the Winter Olympics in Sochi, Russia, in 2014.  Which is what I'm toying with.  I'm thinking I could fit in as the third man in the four-man bobsleigh event--push, jump in, duck, hang on. Push, jump-in, duck, hang on. Geez, I'm starting to get the hang of it already.

Yeh, sure.  I think the bobsleigh senses whether you're rippling with muscle or have been retracing your steps too often to the all-you-can-eat buffet.   So I'd be eliminated right off.  But don't let me discourage you.  I promise lots of coverage in The Insider if you make the team. 

 
Looking every bit the demure filly, Rachel eyes Fair Grounds Saturday, March 13
All right -- moving into new territory -- which happens to be exciting territory, and that's not hype.  March is huge for Derby prep races.  After all, the Kentucky Derby is just eight weeks away.  And next week will see a return of superstar females Zenyatta and Rachel Alexandra.  Not together.  That happens on Friday, April 9 in the $5 million Apple Blossom Invitational at Oaklawn.  But both could be racing separately on Saturday, March 13--Rachel at the Fair Grounds and Zenyatta on her favourite Pro-Ride surface at Santa where she won the Breeders' Cup Classic last fall. 

And, oh yah, on the same weekend--Saturday and Sunday--the poker finals for three trips to Las Vegas will be taking place in the Terrace Dining Room.  So, who says there's no life after the Olympics?  Put away that Kleenex box and get a grip.  March is gonna be fun!

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Canada's Olympic medal haul: 14 - 7 - 5.  Closest prediction: 14 - 7 - 6

                                OH, SO CLOSE!

Contestant's medal prediction misses by one!

How good is this?  Almost unbelievable, I'd say.  Two entrants to the Downs' "predict Canadian medals" contest came a whisker from being bang-on.  Canada scored 14 - 7 - 5 medals--gold, silver and bronze.  One entrant predicted 14 - 7 - 6.   Another predicted 14 - 7 - 8.  There was no provision for consolation prizes for those who came close.  But these entries were soooo close and they showed such huge confidence in Canada's ability to score lots of gold, general manager Sharon Gulyas said they are highly deserving of consolation prizes.  So the closest entrant, Shaylyn Stutzky, will receive a sterling silver Olympic coin, an official Olympic black hoodie, $100 cash and dinner for four at the all-you-can-eat Prime Rib buffet.  The runner-up (only three bronze medals shy of the actual number), Tim Baylis, will receive dinner for two, $50 and Olympic keepsake red mittens.  Congratulations to both of you for having so much faith in Canada!  And thanks to all of you who joined in the fun and entered! See all entrants' predictions here.
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DO YOU LIKE TO WAGER ON FAVOURITES?

Chance of winning: Lone Star 42%, ASD 39%, W0 30%

If you bet favourites, the best tracks to play are Lone Star, Suffolk Downs, Canterbury and Portland (where favourites win about 42 per cent of the time)  and among the worst to play are Woodbine, Del Mar, Oaklawn and Keeneland (where favourites win about 30 per cent of the time).   At Assiniboia Downs you'll win 39 per cent of the time you bet on favourites.

 

 

Lone Star Park: Where favourites
win like crazy

Those stats come from a study by the Daily Racing Form which examined winning favourites at the 56,000 races run in North America last year.  The North American average is 36.66 per cent winning favourites.  Note this figure is 10 per cent higher than the 33 per cent which, for years, has been thought to be the average number of winning favourites at race tracks.

 

Field size is at least a partial explanation for the variance in winning favourites. Woodbine has large fields so it can logically be expected that fewer favourites will win, whereas Portland has short fields and, thusly, more winning favourites.  But this isn't always the case as Lone Star generally has larger fields, too, and yet has more winning favourites than every track except for Suffolk.  The inconsistency of the Polytrack surface is another explanation:  Woodbine, Del Mar and Keeneland--which are clustered near the bottom of a list of 71 tracks--all have Polytrack surfaces. New York's two major tracks, Belmont and Aqueduct, racing on dirt, have 38 per cent winning favourites.  Hollywood, with Cushion track, and Santa Anita, with the Pro-Ride surface, have about 35 per cent winning favourites.   See the ranking of all tracks here.

 

QUICK BITS:  No surface change at Santa . . . yet

SANTA OWNER WANTS LESS GOVERNMENT CONTROL:  Although he personally prefers a dirt surface to Santa's current synthetic stuff, the owner of Santa Anita, Frank
 

Santa Anita owner Frank Stronach
Won't change track until government gets out of his hair

Stronach
, said he's going to leave the current unsatisfactory synthetic surface in place until the race track can free itself from so much government control.  "I don't like (synthetic surfaces), I never liked it but I got legislated to put it in," he said recently.  In fact, he won't even race his own horses over it.  But he doesn't want to change anything until the track can operate in a free enterprise way, he said. Looks to me that this is a pressure tactic designed to wake up the state government and earn the support of horsemen who are fed up with the cancellations and other problems associated with synthetics.  Interesting.

IT NEVER RAINS IN CALIFORNIA?  Yah, sure.  The song sure didn't get it right.  Santa Anita cancelled races last Saturday again because the Pro-Ride synthetic surface didn't drain rain water.  So the Score-a-Grand contest was based on two tracks instead of three and the hour-long seminar to select a pick-6 at Santa went for nought.  And the Magna pick-5 bet wasn't available again. This is getting tiresome. You can check Santa's track at www.santaanita.com and click Audio/Video in the bar at the top.

PSYCHIC AGAIN:  You may recall my mentioning I foresaw Barbaro's breakdown before the Preakness three years ago.  It happened again with the U.S./Canada medal game. I foresaw the exact 3-2 finish so couldn't get excited about the game.  It felt like watching a movie in which I knew the ending.  (I told a few people before the game including tourney winner Roger Jones.) I know.  It's very weird. Problem was, I didn't really enjoy the game until overtime--when I wanted to see who would score Canada's winning goal and how it would be scored. 

ANOTHER "PAINT" STABLED AT DOWNS:  Trainer Emile Corbel said there'll be another beautifully coloured "paint" horse in residence at the Downs this season--a 2-year-old owned by the same person who had the popular black and white spotted  3-year-old, Ellusive Spell, at the track last year.

 

   

 Rob's your point man

Who are the prime contenders to win the Kentucky Derby? Consider horse trainer Rob Atras your point man. After all, he predicted Derby prospects so well in previous years that he won Road to the Derby contests two years in a row!  Find out what he thinks here.


WINNERS' CORNER

Your last chance to earn poker points before finals

Attention, poker buffs!  You have just three days left to earn extra points so you have a bigger starting stack in the finals.  Your final opportunities are tomorrow and Saturday and then next week on Friday.  The finals for three trips to Las Vegas take place the next day (Saturday, March 13) at 2 p.m. and Sunday, March 14, at 2 p.m.   NOTE:   The week after the finals, new rounds of poker will start up at the usual times for three new trips to Las Vegas. 

 

FRIDAY'S FREEROLL POKER:  Veterans win both games.  Horse trainer Blair Miller won the 7:30 p.m. game, his second of the current series.  He started with a short stack at the final table and doubled it again and again with the help of  pocket kings twice.  In the 10:30 p.m. game, math prof Jim Roberts rivered a nine to pair the nine in his hand to edge out his rival's pair of eights to win a huge pot and control the game.  All winners receive $50 and $5,000 in extra chips in the finals.  During the Olympics, the top two received Olympic playing cards as well and the top player was awarded a #1 Olympic pin.  See latest standings here.

SATURDAY'S FREEROLL GAMES: Teacher wins with worst hand.  Teacher Joanne Ramjug could do no wrong. With a mere two chips in the 7:30 p.m. game, she paired up the worst hand in poker, a seven and two, to crush her rival's ace/jack then, four hands later, she was the outright winner.  In the 10:30 p.m. game, internet music uploader Allan Naycor used the luck of great cards, aces and kings, to dominate the final table and win his second game of this series.  .    

5-ALIVE FRIDAY:   Tomorrow's jackpot is $450 because no one won last Friday.  Jeff Pirt received the $50 consolation payoff.  The two 35-second betting spree bets sputtered.

 

SCORE-A-GRAND TOURNAMENT:  Jones wins round two.   Transit driver Roger Jones rode to the top of the player standings in Saturday's Score-a-Grand Horseplayer Tournament on the strength of a $150 play he made on a 5-1 horse at Gulfstream, sending his bankroll to $1, 008. He won top prize of $705.  Canada mint employee Ken Porter was

   

Roger Jones, 1st 

Ken Porter, 2nd 

second, also making some big hits, emerging with an $840 bankroll and winning $235.  Third place Barry Mymko picked a nice 10-1 longshot at Gulfstream but his $30 on the horse wasn't enough to threaten the leaders.  His bankroll was $550 and he collected $120.  Glen "Stretch" Sirkis, the winner in January, was fourth this time with a bankroll of $530.  He picked up $60 as did fifth place finisher, retiree George McLean, who accumulated $497. See updated rankings here.  The third round of Score-a-Grand takes place Saturday, March 27.

 

TIP O' THE WEEK:  Tournament play requires boldness

A few horseplayer tournament participants have complained that the same people are at the top or near the top of the Score-a-Grand horseplayer tournament in both the January and February contest because they're grouping their entries.  Yah, so?  They still have to be right.  Maybe they're just employing the right strategy and you should consider that strategy.  Put simply, they plunge bigtime on one or two horses.  They don't make $10 show bets.  They don't put $20 on horses they like; they put $100 or $150.  Could you do the same thing?  Of course. 

 

They buy two entries--because each entrant thinks he could be at least 50 per cent correct in picking the right horse.  And they watch replays of some races by going to that track's website.  Contest winner Roger Jones had $150 on a horse that a replay showed had checked last time.  Second-place finisher Ken Porter had finished near the bottom in January's play with BOTH entries but bounced back in Febuary by nailing a couple good horses. That's what's required.  Practise making fictional bold bets so, at the end of March, you're ready to be just as bold as the current leaders.  As you saw in the Olympics, those who won gold were those who pushed the envelope.

 

QUOTE OF THE WEEK: "There is no new (track) until we get a strong indication that the government is committed to free enterprise and that the horsemen are committed to free enterprise."  -- Frank Stronach, chairman of two companies that own Santa Anita race track.

 

UPCOMING EVENTS:  Saturday is Big 'Cap Day!

One of the biggest days at Santa Anita's meeting, Big 'Cap Day, goes this Saturday.  It features the $750,000 Santa Anita Handicap and, since last Saturday's racing was cancelled because of rain pooling on the synthetic track, the Sham Stakes Derby-prep race for 3-year-olds will also be held. 

 

RESERVATIONS ARE NOW BEING TAKEN for Easter Brunch Sunday, April 4.  Menu.